Data for Australian Q1 GDP is looking good; forecasts upgraded … But there's a but ...

Analysts are upgrading their forecasts for the January - March GDP data from Australia on Wednesday 6 June 2018

  • (due at 0130GMT)

Last week I was noting expectations around 0.8% q/q, but these are now being shifted higher after solid data on inventories and the OK data today (net exports improved from Q4, government spending a support)

But, yeah , the but …. this from Westpac is worth noting for the outlook (bolding mine):

  • More generally, we note that the national accounts data is somewhat dated and that some recent developments have been less favourable - eg jobs growth has slowed, the housing market has slowed further with house prices pulling back from their highs, and commodity prices have eased a little. Key headwinds remain, notably, weak wages growth is constraining the consumer and the housing sector is cooling as lending conditions tighten.

So, for tomorrow - its all good. But no so much necessarily for Q2 ….

AUD giving back some of its weekly (so far) gain:

investingLive Premium
Telegram Community
Gain Access