China FX reserves data (October) was out overnight

Headlines here: China forex reserves end-Oct USD 3.1092trln vs 3.1085trln prev

  • China's foreign exchange reserves rose for the ninth month in a row
  • Increase of US$700 million was the smallest this year

Macquarie Securities says:

  • The PBOC now has "a stronger grip" on the yuan exchange rate
  • Cites the role of the counter-cyclical factor in setting the daily price of the yuan - which is still a mystery as to how it works

On capital outflows, MBL add:

  • "As capital outflows have disappeared from the headlines, we expect the PBOC to further ease capital controls"
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