If you’ve just woken up … Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey has hiked rates

The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey has hiked rates, the benchmark overnight lending rate from 7.75% to 12%, which was right out at the upper end of expectations – a very aggressive move.

The market has taken this as a very positive for ‘risk':

  • AUD higher
  • NZD higher
  • USD/JPY higher
  • USD/CHF higher

The move by the Turkish central bank most likely makes the decision to further ‘taper’ an easier on for the FOMC tomorrow. Maybe that is a positive for risk? The market reactions seems to be saying it is… but maybe we will see some selling into this ‘risk rally’ as we approach some of the shorter-term resistance levels (a quick glance at the charts put these around overnight highs approx. 0.8290 in NZD, 0.8815 in AUD)?

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