Canada January employment +48.3K vs -10.0K expected

Details of the January Canadian jobs report

  • Prior was +46.1K
  • Unemployment rate 6.8% vs 6.8% expected
  • Prior unemployment rate was 6.8%
  • Participation rate 65.9% vs 65.8% expected
  • Prior participation rate 65.8%
  • Full time change +15.8K vs +70.9K prior
  • Part time change +32.4K vs -24.7K prior

This is the second consecutive super-strong Canadian jobs report. The strong market seems to be pulling in workers with participation up to 65.9% from 65.6% two months ago.

At first blush, this is super strong. The past five months have been the strongest such stretch in 9 years.

Looking into the details, almost all the jobs were created in the categories of 'finance, insurance, real estate and leasing' and 'business, building and other support services'. Those a high-wage categories so that's a positive, not a negative.

The problem in Canada, much like elsewhere, is that wage growth is slow. Year-over-year growth in January was just +1.0% compared to 1.5% in Dec and Nov. In fact, the wage growth number might be the lowest on record.

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