BOC: Lenders should not extrapolate home price gains

Warn about home price risk in Toronto, Vancouver

Other comments:

  • overall level of risk largely unchanged from December
  • share of highly indebted, Toronto, Vancouver homes rising
  • other vulnerabilities: housing imbalances, bond, liquidity
  • household vulnerabilities have moved higher
  • Toronto, Vancouver fundamentals may not justify housing gains
  • Other risks: rising rates commodity weakness. EME stress
  • Sees higher potential for housing downturn

Needless to say, the BOC in the Financial System review is a bit concerned about the run up in housing prices in the hottest markets in the east and west. The USDCAD is little changed.

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