BlackRock outlook for U.S. Treasuries - prepare for "pain"

BlackRock has further cut its view on U.S. Treasuries

  • Citing rising economic growth, wages & inflation
  • These likely to continue to hurt long-term U.S. government debt in particular
  • More widely - rates globally are liable to recalibrate to reflect this 'reflationary' dynamic in 2017, pushing yields upward, causing pain for holders of long-duration bonds
  • Steepening yield curves suggest investors should consider pivoting toward shorter-maturity bonds
  • Preserving liquidity & otherwise preparing for increased bond market volatility
  • BlackRock has been on Treasuries since (northern) summer, downgrading now to "underweight"
  • Negative outlook for the coming three months

More:

Raises its outlook for Japanese stocks

Cites:

  • weaker yen
  • better global growth
  • "shareholder-friendly corporate behaviour
  • Supportive central-bank policies

Lowered its view on European corporate debt

  • Says its expensive
  • Also cites risks in the Italian banking sector
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