Australian March retail sales record highest ever. Citi expect another record next month. But a record decline.

A snippet from Citi's response to yesterday's data from Australia. ICYMI:

(ICYMI, the data: Australia Preliminary March retail sales data +8.2% m/m

Australian Bureau of Statistics: strongest seasonally adjusted rise ever)

Citi on what to expect next month, not so good:

  • April will be the first month where retail trade was fully covered by the closure or rapid scaling down of non-essential businesses and social distancing.
  • We expect to see the largest decline ever recorded

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