Gold Analysis for Today with tradeCompass (October 24, 2025)
The Bigger Picture for Gold Prices: Structural Demand Shift
Major institutions are turning increasingly bullish on gold, positioning it as a core strategic asset rather than a short-term inflation hedge. JPMorgan projects that gold prices could double by 2028, driven by a global rotation from bonds to hard assets as traditional hedges lose reliability.
Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs stands firm on its $4,900 forecast, citing strong central-bank accumulation and likely rate cuts in 2026.
Takeaway: Gold’s narrative is evolving — from crisis protection to long-term portfolio diversification.
The Technical View for Gold: Market Behavior Matters
Despite recent volatility, gold’s broader structure remains intact. As noted in Greg Michalowski's technical analysis, gold fell nearly 9%, testing the $4,000 zone before rebounding sharply. It later gained about $50 (1.2%) to $4,147, confirming that the $3,955–$4,000 range remains strong support while $4,200 acts as near-term resistance.
Takeaway: Price structure is consolidating, not collapsing — bulls continue to defend key levels.
Bridging Fundamentals and Technicals for Gold Investors and Traders
Institutional conviction and technical resilience now align. With JPMorgan and Goldman reaffirming long-term bullish outlooks even after corrections, dips are increasingly viewed as opportunities. However, traders are watching inflation data closely, as Giuseppe Dellamotta’s CPI preview notes that a hotter CPI could delay rate cuts and pressure gold temporarily.
Gold Price Key Levels and Catalysts
Support: $4,000 and $3,955
Resistance: $4,090–$4,200
Catalysts: Inflation data, Fed tone, and central-bank gold demand.
For investors, these levels align with strategic accumulation; for traders, confirmation beyond thresholds remains key before taking new positions.
tradeCompass Map for Gold Traders Today
Gold futures (reminder: tradeCompass always looks at the futures contracts!) currently trade at $4,125.5, just below our bearish threshold at $4,127.5 — yesterday’s value area low. Price is near today’s session low ($4,121.2), where short-term traders may begin covering profitable shorts and scalpers may attempt to build long positions on a potential double bottom.
This is where tradeCompass helps: we look for sustained price behavior — not just quick spikes — beyond the bullish or bearish thresholds before acting. Many traders wait roughly 15 minutes to confirm that momentum holds before entering.
If the bearish threshold activates and price sustains below it:
Partial Profit 1: $4,111.4 — near the value area high from two days ago.
Partial Profit 2: $4,095.5 — above the VWAP from October 22.
Partial Profit 3: $4,068.8 — aligns with a liquidity pocket from midweek.
Partial Profit 4: $4,037.8 — horizon view for today’s compass.
If price instead reverses above $4,152, the bullish premise engages:
Partial Profit 1: $4,159
Partial Profit 2: $4,166
Partial Profit 3: $4,200 — key round number and prior liquidity zone.
Partial Profit 4: $4,220 — near the VWAP of October 21.
For deeper swing setups, visit investingLive.com (formerly ForexLive) for extended tradeCompass horizons.
tradeCompass Risk Management
We’ll move the stop to the entry after the first profit target — not the second — since the early levels are relatively close and may face short-term reversals. This defensive tactic helps protect profits while keeping flexibility.
Educational Insight: Liquidity Pools & Partial Profits
Liquidity pools are areas where a concentration of stop orders, pending entries, or large resting orders exist. Price often gravitates to these zones because market makers and algorithms seek liquidity to fill large positions.
Taking partial profits at these points helps lock in gains while reducing exposure , a key discipline for day traders facing unpredictable intraday reversals.
(This analysis is provided by investingLive.com, formerly ForexLive.com for educational purposes and decision support, not financial advice. Trade and invest responsibly.)
