WSJ Timiraos: Federal Reserve faces a tough decision on rate increase

  • Fed watcher Timiraos on the Fed decision
Fed
WSJ Timiraos on the Fed decision

WSJ's Timiraos, thought to the a sounding board for the Fed's Powell, is saying:

  • The Fed faces one of their toughest calls in years
  • do they continue to raise rates to fight stubbornly high inflation or take a timeout due to the intense banking crisis
  • decision on whether to hike by 25 basis points is likely to hinge in part on how markets digest the UBS/Credit Suisse merger, and other steps to calm fears of contagion in the banking system
  • Until now the Fed has not confronted in abrupt and fluid crisis on the eve of a policy meeting

Is the Fed chair stuck in a box due to the inflation fighting concerns and forced to tighten, or will they think outside the box due to concerns about financial institutions and keep rates unchanged?

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Futures markets at midday implied a roughly 75% of a quarter-point increase.

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