Scotia expects a Federal Reserve lift-off rate hike in March

  • The March meeting is pretty much the consensus for the first Fed rate hike

A note via Scotia, in brief:

  • In the United States, we forecast a rate liftoff in March, and foresee a total increase of 175bps in 2022. A less robust labour market in the United States and a need to fully taper asset purchases explain the slightly less aggressive path for the Federal Reserve than the Bank of Canada.

And add that US:

  • inflation would remain uncomfortably high through 2023 even if rates rise as we predict

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