Powell: It's really the risks to the labor market that were the focus of today's decision

  • Powell notes that the AI build-out has been strong as well
Jay Powell
  • It looks like consumer was stronger than expected this week
  • It's really the risks to the labor market that were the focus of today's decision

I think this is notable because he's not raising alarm bells on jobs so far and if that's the case, a couple solid jobs reports could take the December cut right off the table.

  • Households and banks are in good shape overall
  • Financial structural vulnerabilities are not elevated right now
  • Inflation surveys have been 'rock solid'

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