Poll: Economists almost evenly-divided on 75 bps hike from the ECB next week

Reuters is out with a poll of 61 economists on next week's ECB decision:

• 30 see 75 bps
• 27 see 50 bps
• 4 see 25 bps

The median sees the chance of a recession in 12 months at 60% from 45% in the July poll.