Offshore yuan not artificially cheap, Mizuho says, citing stronger regional positioning

  • Mizuho says the offshore yuan isn’t artificially cheap and has been stronger than regional peers since 2018. Argues the PBOC’s fixings lean toward appreciation and China’s trade surplus isn’t driven by currency manipulation.
pboc cny yuan cnh 23 September 2025 2

Claims that China is deliberately weakening the offshore yuan are misplaced, according to Mizuho Securities. In a research note said the yuan is neither undervalued nor being artificially cheapened, and that criticism of the currency as “controlled” ignores key evidence.

Noted that the PBOC’s daily guidance has mostly leaned toward appreciation, not depreciation, and that the yuan has actually been stronger relative to Asian peers since the first round of U.S. tariffs in 2018. China’s large trade surplus, he argued, is not the result of a cheap currency, but has persisted despite a relatively firm yuan.

The comments push back against renewed political accusations that China is using the exchange rate to gain unfair trade advantage.

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We note the reference rate for CNY each day and have been tracking its persistent appreciation. I think this note is not really new newws.

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