Nomura pulls back call on another Fed rate cut in December

  • The firm sees the Fed keeping interest rates steady to wrap up the year
Federal Reserve

This comes after the Fed decision and Powell's press conference yesterday, in which he said that December is "not a foregone conclusion". I mean, that is what you would expect from Powell at this stage. He can't pre-commit to anything, that especially amid a US government shutdown that has plagued economic data releases for a month already.

Nomura had previously forecast the Fed to cut again by 25 bps in December. As things stand, Fed funds futures are now seeing ~72% odds of another rate cut by year-end but that is down from ~91% overnight before the Fed.

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