Morgan Stanley CEO says Fed to hike 4 times (by 25bps) in 2022

  • Morgan Stanley Chief Executive Officer James Gorman said the Fed should still commence a series of rate hikes despite the geopolitical and economic risks sparked by the war in Ukraine.

Bloomberg with report (gated):

  • Fed will likely need to make “inexorable” rate increases in order to contain surging price pressures

And warned:

  • “You have to raise rates, but you don’t want to tip the economy into recession,”
  • “If you tip the economy into recession you get stagflation, that’s really bad.”

Gorman said a 50bp hike in March was 'locked in' but:

  • “I’d be stunned if they do that because you can’t throw boldness on top of uncertainty.”

Well, yeah.

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