More from Fed's Evans - short-term neutral rate may be higher than long-run rate

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Charles Evans spoke earlier on current economic conditions & monetary policy before the Money Marketeers of New York University, in New York:

Q&A now:

  • I believe inflation will be 3% or less by 2023
  • underlying inflation is currently around 4% to 4.5%
  • the short-term neutral rate may be greater than the long-run neutral rate
  • if inflation is not responding to tighter policy to the degree needed then "we are going to continue working on it"
  • my colleagues and I have been pretty clear when we have said we are going to move the Fed Funds rate towards neutral in an expeditious fashion
  • I think the front loading is pretty much in process
  • As long as inflation looks like its high and its trajectory is high the FOMC is going to say policy is not restrictive and will keep going
  • its time to adjust our balance sheer back to a more normal setting
  • I wouldn't say that involves a full round trip in its size
Chicago Fed president Evans

more to come

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