Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly is really giving very little away.
Earlier:
And now:
- hard to say if further rate cuts will come now, later in 2025, or when
Daly is often seen as a mouthpiece for Federal Reserve Chair Powell. If so, it appears the FOMC is in a git of a state of indecision.
More now:
- the labor market is not weak
- the labor market is not as speedy as it was, its sustainable, and don't want to see further softening
- once the labor market tips into weakness, its difficult to get it back out
- rate cut was like taking out insurance ion the labor market
- this is not stagflation
- we have work to do on inflation and don't want the labor market to get weak
- the risk of recession is very low right now
- the evidence is consistent with tariffs have a one-time impact on inflation
- interest rate cut will help a little on housing, but even bringing it down to neutral won't fix supply issues that is hurting affordability