Mexican central bank hikes 50 bps vs 50 bps expected

  • Mexican central bank decision highlights
  • Main rate hiked to 7.00% from 6.50%
  • One dissenter voted to hike by 75 bps, four others voted for 50
  • Prelim info suggests activity rebounded during Q1
  • Given growing complexity in the environment for inflation and its expectations, taking more forceful measures to attain the inflation target may be considered
  • Environment of uncertainty and ample slack continues to prevail, though slack narrowed
  • Revised up inflation forecast
  • Convergence to 3% inflation target in Q1 of 2024 is maintained

USD/MXN has been locked in a range around 20 since late 2020. There was little reaction to this decision initially but some of the headlines were hawkish.

USDMXN daily chart

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