Implied odds of a Fed pause in November rise to 22% after Bostic. Euro hits two-month low

  • They were at 7% earlier today
Fed's Bostic

The US dollar jumped after Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic signalled openness to pausing in November if the data supports it.

“I am totally comfortable with skipping a meeting if the data suggests that’s appropriate," he told the WSJ.

With that, the implied odds of the Fed pausing rose to 22% from 7% following today's CPI and jobless claims data. It wasn't a throw-away line either as he specifically mentioned today's CPI report.

"This choppiness to me is along the lines of maybe we should take a pause in November. I’m definitely open to that,” Bostic said. “I think we have the ability to be patient and wait and let things play out a little longer…. There are elements of today’s report which I think validate that view.”

The dollar is broadly higher on the comments and stocks sold off. EUR/USD is trading at the worst levels of the day, down 40 pips. It's also at a two-month low.

EURUSD daily chart
EURUSD daily chart

Top Brokers

Sponsored

General Risk Warning