Goldman Sachs is forecasting the first ECB rate cut in Q2 of 2024 (vs. Q3 prior forecast)

  • Goldman Sachs shaking it up with a forecast for the turning point in the ECB's rate cycle.

Goldman Sachs has revised its outlook for the European Central Bank,

  • it now expects a rate cut from the Bank in the second quarter of next year
  • GS had been previously forecasting a Q3 ECB rate cut

The ECB depo rate is currently 4.0%, the first cut is expected to take it back to 3.75%

ecb depositi rate history 01 December 2023

The Bank kicked off its current rate hike cycle in July 2022, and followed up with another 9 rate hikes. Its final hike (so far at least!) was in September 2023.

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