ICYMI, the FOMC minutes and one Federal Reserve speaker on Wednesday:
- FOMC minutes: Most participants emphasized 'flexibility and optionality' on rates
- Feds Kashkari: Appropriate to continue interest rate hikes at least at the next few meetings
Respones coming in for around the place, this is the general gist:
Citi says that officials at the Federal Reserve are "clearly growing more uncomfortable with the market underpricing their likely policy path". Citi forecasts a 50bp rate hike at the next meeting, in February. ProjectMorgan Stanley the terminal rate at 5.25 - 5.50%.
Morgan Stanley's note says they see financial conditions being "too easy". A reflection of a "misperception among investors of the Fed's reaction function". MS say the implication is that as long as financial conditions are misaligned with the Fed's aims, "expect additional tightening".
