Fed's Waller: When the labor market turns, it usually turns fast

  • Comments from Federal Reserve Governor Waller
waller
Chris Waller
Chris Waller
  • We should cut at the next meeting
  • We don't have to cut at every meeting
  • I'm not worried about tariff inflation but people are
  • You know you're going to have a surge in inflation from tariffs but it's not permanent
  • We can always adjust the pace of rate cuts based on incoming data
  • We want to get to neutral -- say cutting 100-150 bps -- but we don't know how fast we will get there
  • My other colleagues think we have a higher neutral rate
  • The independence of the Fed is critical for everything we do
  • I think no matter what, the Fed will maintain its independence
  • I've met with Bessent in the past but it wasn't an interview for the Fed job
  • Tariffs are a tax and taxes aren't typically good for growth
  • You're going to get some slow growth out of tariffs but I don't see a recession

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