Fed's Miran: I am expecting significant disinflation to services inflation

  • Miran on Bloomberg TV
Stephen Miran 2
  • Neutral rate has come down to the bottom of end of estimates
  • Estimates of low neutral rate is based on forward looking estimates
  • Using backward looking data is misguided
  • Cost of housing is paramount in thinking
  • When you remove regulations it creates a positive output gap

He is really leaning on population changes for his thinking but the levels of immigration to the US weren't that material, especially compared to other western economies.

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