Fed's Mester says further rate hikes will be needed, and restrictive policy for some time

Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester speech to

Massachusetts Institute of Technology (from prepared text)

  • further rate hikes will be needed, will need restrictive stance for some time
  • in uncertain environment, it can be better to act more aggressively
  • pre-emptive action can prevent worst-case outcomes
  • will be very cautious, will need several months of declines to conclude inflation has peaked
  • will guard against being complacent that longer-term inflation expectations are well-anchored
  • costs would be high if we were to fail to take decisive action
  • unacceptably high inflation is key challenge facing economy
  • price stability is necessary to ensure healthy labor market conditions
  • fed committed to using its tools to bring inflation back down to 2% goal, will be resolute
  • energy prices could move higher again; rent, shelter costs will likely keep inflation elevated for some time
  • inflation pressures remain intense, wage pressures are contributing
  • not clear that longer-term inflation expectations won't move up again
  • large and rising level of dispersion suggests inflation expectations not as well anchored as would hope

more to come

"Pre-emptive" action. FFS these Fed parrots were screaming 'transitory' for months and months. We got denial, not pre-emptive. Now they appear to be going in the same but opposite direction. As signs emerge of inflation pressures dribbling lower they are still promising further aggressive hikes. If you have a curve you can be sure the Federal Reserve is well behind it.

Federal Reserve Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)

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