Fed's Kashkari says its too soon to know the impact of tariffs on inflation

  • Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari
kashkari

Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari speaking at a 'town hall' event.

  • Too soon to know the effect of tariffs on inflation
  • Impact of tariffs taking longer to be felt than had guessed
  • Expect services inflation to trend down, possible that goods inflation could spill over
  • Job market is slowing down
  • Its challenging to read signals without core government data because of the shut down
  • Most folks say they are still concerned about inflation
  • Fed prioritizing labor market over inflation control could lead to bad outcomes for workers
  • Private credit bears watching; cautious about if it’s suitable for a 401k
  • Leaders on both sides of the aisle believe in an independent Fed
  • Pleased to see Supreme Court in May said Fed was a unique institution
  • US economy is far and away the strongest economy in the world
  • Immigration is a tool for economic growth, should we choose to use it
  • Housing affordability crisis can’t be solved by interest rate cuts; need more housing supply
  • More risk of labor market negative surprise than an uptick in inflation
  • We are likely betting the economy is slowing more than it really is
  • Take concerns about soy beans very seriously, but not something the Fed can do something about
  • The longer the government shut down lasts, the less confident we are that we are reading the economy correctly
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