Fed's Daly says it'd be quite reasonable to raise rates in March

  • Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly in an interview with Reuters.

Highlights from the interview:

  • says in interview that raising rates in March is 'quite reasonable'
  • 'misguided' to call the number of rate hikes we will need; it will depend on data
  • inflation is north of Fed's 2% price stability goal
  • labor market is roaring, except on the one metric of labor force participation
  • ending bond buying earlier than planned would not be worth potential market disclocations it would cause
  • don't want to raise rates while still buying bonds
  • I expect inflation to stay high for much for 2022, but to moderate
  • expect continued labor market gains
  • could start shrinking balance sheet after one or two rate hikes, certainly by end of year
  • pace of balance sheet reduction can be faster than last time, but should be predictable, not meeting by meeting

I don't see anything in this that adds anything at all to what we have already heard from the plethora of Fed officials we have had speak in past days.

Best in 2026

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