Fed discount rate minutes: Chicago and New York directors favored cuts

  • The discount minutes sometimes show a soft dissent

At times the discount minutes can offer a preview of something like a coming dissent at the FOMC meeting but it's very well telegraphed that a cut is coming. I suppose someone could dissent for 50 bps though.

Current pricing is 64% for 25 bps and 36% for 50 bps but that will make a big swing based on next week's non-farm payrolls report.

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