ECB's Wunsch: continued expansive fiscal policy requires stronger monetary policy reaction

  • TL;DR is real interest rates are still quite low and there is more to do on higher rates

Governor, Nationale Bank van België / Banque Nationale de Belgique and hence European Central Bank Governing Council member Pierre Wunsch spoke on Saturday:

  • at the Dubrovnik Economic Conference of the Croatian National Bank

Posting this as a bit of a catch-up ICYMI (as I did!).

Wunsch warned that continued expansive fiscal policy would require a larger reaction from monetary policy.

  • ‘On fiscal of course, we would hope and expect some consolidation. … If fiscal remains supportive, then monetary policy would have to do more to get inflation under control.’
  • ‘This is going to imply higher interest rates and, at the end of the day over the medium term, higher deficits because of the debt burden and a higher risk of fiscal dominance.'

Adding:

  • 'We hiked 400bp and we might have to do more'
  • said rates were still 'quite low' in real terms, said monetary policy makers have more ground to cover.
Wunsch

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