ECB's De Cos says growth uncertainty could weigh on inflation

  • There's an interesting shift brewing
de cos
  • Negative effect of the conflict and associated uncertainty surrounding economic growth could reduce inflationary pressures in the medium term
  • Risks to medium-term inflation outlook include above-target moves in inflation expectations, ghierh than anticipated wage hikes and a durable worsening of supply-side conditions
  • Even though ECB's central scenario remains one of gradual convergence to 2% inflation over the medium term, the war has intensified the upside risks to inflation path, especially in the near term
  • Economic situation in eurozone will crucially depend on the war, sanctions and possible further measures

We've gone from worrying about inflation to worrying about growth in record time.

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