China's onshore yuan reference rate to a near 4 year high, TWI even stronger

  • The earlier mid-rate post noted the mid-rate high for the CNY against the dollar at its strongest since April 2018

Post is here:

The 'basket' however, i.e. the CNY weighted against major trading partners, hit 103.5, which was its highest since August of 2015.

  • The basket contains the currencies of 13 of China's major trading partners
  • It was set at a 100 base as of the end of December 2014
  • The China Foreign Exchange Trade System (CFETS, a unit of the PBOC) manages the basket

There has really be no let up in yuan appreciation despite official remarks about it stabilising. A stronger yuan will weigh on Chinese exports, but with the external sector is better shape than the domestic a higher currency gives the People's Bank of China some protection against inflation and allows them to hold the line on further easing policies.

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