BOJ's Takata says must hike rate more if economy moves in line with BOJ forecasts

  • Bank of Japan policy board member

Bank of Japan policy board member Takata speaking.

  • Japan's real interest rates remain deeply negative, no change to accommodative monetary environment.
  • Must adjust degree of monetary support further if economy moves in line with BoJ's forecasts.
  • BoJ must gradually shift policy, even after January's rate hike, to avoid upside price risks from materialising.
  • BoJ also needs to take a cautious approach in shifting policy due to uncertainty over U.S. economic outlook, difficulty of gauging neutral rate level.
  • Indicating set neutral rate level could be taken by markets as forward guidance, may cause challenges in terms of policy flexibility.
  • Firms are maintaining a bullish investment stance
  • Conumption is rising moderately as a trend
  • Long-term inflation expectations are rising steadily
  • Expect firms to deliver solid wage rises in this year's wage talks
  • Expect inflation to approach the BoJ's target, driven by domestic factors
  • Must be mindful of the risk that inflation may accelerate more than expected due to the weak yen and bumper pay hikes
  • Hopeful Japan will progress toward durable achievement of the BOJ's price target from fiscal 2025 onward due to solid wage gains, home-made inflationary pressure
  • Uncertainties remain over the US economy
Hajime Bank of Japan 19 February 2025 2

The yen is aging a few points on Takata's comments

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