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Central Banks
BOJ October Minutes: To keep sustaining Yield Curve Control (YCC) to support wage growth

BOJ October Minutes: To keep sustaining Yield Curve Control (YCC) to support wage growth

Central Banks
By Eamonn Sheridan
21/12/2023 | 23:52 GMT

Bank of Japan October 2023 monetary policy board meeting minutes.

Headlines via Reuters:

  • Members agreed need to patiently maintain current easy policy
  • Several members said must sustain YCC to continue supporting wage growth
  • Another member said must confirm wage, inflation cycle in determining whether sustained achievement of price goal can be eyed
  • One member said chance of Japan achieving sustained 2% inflation heightening, BOJ must gradually adjust degree of monetary easing
  • Several members said Japan's price developments might become factor pushing up long-term interest rates
  • One member said 10-year JGB yield may reach 1% depending on US Treasury market, domestic price developments
  • Many members said side-effects on markets, corporate funding could become large if the BOJ keeps tight control on JGB yield
  • Several members said making YCC flexible would help diminish speculative moves in market, make framework more sustainable
  • One member said BOJ must strongly deny that today's measure is step toward abandoning YCC, negative rate policy
  • Another member said steps BOJ took since December last year were aimed at continuing ultra-loose policy
  • One member said the BOJ must proceed with communication with markets on chance of Japan's interest rates turning positive
  • One member said achievement of price target already coming into sight, latter half of current fiscal year is critical period for scrutinising this
  • A member said smaller firms have limited capacity to raise wages
  • Several members said there was hope wage growth next year may outpace that of this year

There is nothing here pointing to a January pivot from the Bank.

***

The full text is here:

  • Minutes of the Monetary Policy Meeting on October 30 and 31, 2023

***

The tweak at this meeting was to keep the 1% JGB yield ceiling as a point of reference.

The summary of the meeting was released early in November:

  • BOJ October meeting summary - USD/JPY little changed in response

From the day of the meeting:

  • The BOJ underdelivers once again
  • Bank of Japan October 31 Statement - full text
  • Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Statement: Changes language around 1% 10year JGB cap
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