BOE's Pill: Underlying inflation dynamics in UK are lower than headline suggests

  • When does actual inflation fall?
Hew Pill

After nearly 5 years of inflation above target, when does underlying inflation actually fall to target?

More from Pill:

  • Policymakers should be cautious about over-interpreting latest changes in key data
  • We have not seen the moderation in key nominal data that we would have expected in the past
  • Wage growth is still substantially above what is consistent with 2% inflation, given weak productivity

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