BOE's Bailey: Underlying driver of steeper UK yield curve is global

  • Bailey is leaning into the spin
BOE Bailey 072025
BOE Bailey 02-2025
  • I think path for rates will continue to be downwards
  • Upward risks to UK inflation come from the supply side
  • Should not over-focus on 30-year gilt rates

UK 30s hit the highest yield this week since 1998. Bailey is in damage control.

Lombardelli:

  • I think neutral rate is in the upper half of 2-4% range

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