BoA says we're in the "worst phase for stocks", see S&P5000 as low as 3000

BoA equity strategists forecast:

  • S&P500 2023 target at 4000
  • but a drop to a low of 3000 before that

BoA cite:

  • easy Fed policy and tightening credit conditions typically equate to the worst phase for stocks
  • $200 in S&P500 EPS for FY 2023e, broadly inline with current consensus
  • would deliver a 9% y/y EPS fall, which is circa 50% of the typical drop seen in a recession
spx 2023 3000 target 12 April 2023

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