Barkin: The key to consumer spending is whether people lose their jobs or not

  • Comments from Barkin
Thomas Barkin Richmond Fed
  • The current level of unemployment is not a concern but the trend could be in the wrong direction
  • Spending is reasonably healthy for higher and lower income consumers
  • Fed needs to hit the 2% target before it discusses tolerating a range around it

He doesn't sound like someone clambering for rate cuts.

  • Says the monthly breakeven jobs rate is now 0-50K jobs

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