Bank of America CEO says he expects interest rates to begin dropping this time next year

Bank of America CEO Moynihan spoke in an interview with Bloomberg TV.

Headline comments:

  • US interest rates will begin falling in Q2 2024
  • Don’t think we will see a deep recession in the US
  • The US will have a "technical recession"

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Note that a recession is generally defined as two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth, that is,. a contraction in gorwth. A 'technical recession' is this definition. Thus a 'technical recession' is a recession.

Graph via the St Louis Fed:

fed funds recessions 07 March 2023

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