The Atlanta Fed GDPNow growth estimate for Q3 remains unchanged at 2.5%. In their own words:
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2025 is 2.5 percent on August 7, unchanged from August 5 after rounding. After this morning’s wholesale trade report from the US Census Bureau, the nowcast of the contribution of inventory investment to third-quarter real GDP growth increased from 0.76 percentage points to 0.82 percentage points.
The next GDPNow update is Friday, August 15. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases.
