The Atlanta Fed GDPNow guesstimate for 3Q growth failed to 3.9% from 4.0% just yesterday. In their own words:
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2025 is 3.9 percent on November 26, down from 4.0 percent on November 25. After this morning’s advance durable manufacturing report from the US Census Bureau, the nowcast of third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth decreased from 4.4 percent to 3.5 percent.
The next GDPNow update is Monday, December 1.