UK's NIESR expects BoE rate hike on Thursday, rates to peak in 2021

Britain's National Institute of Economic and Social Research is expecting a sustained Bank of England rate-tightening cycle beginning Thursday

  • Say rates to peak at 2% in 2021

NIESR economist Amit Kara:

  • "Now that we have lowered our productivity growth forecast, we have also raised the interest rate (path). There is a risk of overheating"

NIESR forecasts

  • CPI will peak at 3.2 percent before the end of the year
  • expects growth in 2017 as a whole to be 1.6 percent, picking up marginally to 1.7 percent in 2018 and 2019
  • expects productivity to grow by just 1 percent a year over the next five years

via Reuters

more to come

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