TA is using the past to predict the future, right?
OK, now that I've annoyed all of the technical analysts ... :-D
Here are recent past announcement times, posted as a guide to what time expect the BOJ announcement today:
2015
- 21 January 12.29pm 0329GMT
- 18 February 11.49am 0249GMT
- 17 Mar 12.04pm 0304GMT
- 8 Apr 12.36pm 0336GMT
- 30 Apr 1.04pm (one day meeting) 0404GMT
- 22 May 11.49pm 0249GMT
- 19 Jun 12.04pm 0304GMT
- 15 Jul 12.18pm 0318GMT
- 7 Aug 12.18pm 0318GMT
- 15 Sep 12.07pm 0307GMT
- 7 Oct 12.00pm 0300GMT
- 30 Oct 12.22pm (one day meeting) 0322GMT
- 19 November 2015 12.17pm 0317GMT
- 18 December 2015 12.51pm - added tiny easing 0351GMT
-
2016
- 29 January 12.38pm 0338GMT - added easing (negative interest rate)
- 15 March 2016 1235pm 0335GMT
- 28 April 2016 12.01pm 0301GMT
- 16 June 2016 11.45am 0245GMT
- 29 July 2016 12.44pm 0344GMT (more easing, added in further ETF purchases)
- 21 September 2016 1.18pm Tokyo time, 0418GMT (comprehensive review and a stack of new policy moves)
- 01 November 2016 0254GMT
- 20 December 2016 0251GMT
-
2017
- 31 January 2017 1156AM Tokyo time, 0256GMT (maintains policy steady)
- 16 March 2017 1154am Tokyo time, 0254GMT (maintains policy steady)
- 27 April 2017 1214pm Tokyo time, 0314GMT (maintains policy steady, upgraded economic outlook, pushes out inflation forecasts)
- 16 June 2017 1154am, 0254GMT (maintains policy steady, maintains economic outlook ... boosts its outlook for private consumption)
- 20 July 2017 1210 Tokyo time 0310GMT (maintains policy steady, upgraded economic outlook, pushes out inflation forecasts)
- 21 September 2017 0315GMT (maintains policy steady, upgraded assessment on public investment)
- 31 October 2017 0304 GMT (maintains policy steady ... noob on the Board Kataoka wants more easing!)
- 21 December 2017 0245 GMT (maintains policy steady ... noob on the Board Kataoka wants more easing ... again. BOJ kept economic assessment unchanged)
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From that lot I'm punting on 0230 to 0330 GMT, and as I'm expecting a "no change" policy announcement I'm also tipping earlier in that window than later.
