Poloz: Low oil prices have widespread impact on Canada

Poloz is appearing on a panel in Washington:

  • Repeats that drop in oil prices very significant shock for Canada
  • Repeats that oil price drop is front-loaded, one-time shock
  • Averse impact of oil price will be gone by second half
  • Cost cutting by oil companies changing supply dynamics
  • Very optimistic about the US economy

Poloz has been upbeat lately, to the point where he's downright bipo

lar. I can't imagine him saying anything more positive today than he's said recently. With oil prices on a skid (down $1 in the past hour) the risks for USD/CAD are higher.

I don't understand the thinking that the averse impact is over by the second half. It's a repeated drag on the economy because investment and hiring in the oil patch slows, export values drop and the spinoffs subside.

Poloz earlier this month.

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