This the latest from Reuters polling
- Federal Reserve to raise rates two more times this year (same as May poll), twice in 2019 vs Fed dot plots' three
- Median 35% chance of US recession in next two years (vs. 31% in May poll)
- Median 15% chance of US recession in next 12 months (same as May poll)
- US GDP to average 2.9 pct this year and 2.5 pct next (2.8, 2.5 pct in May poll)
- US GDP growth annualized 3.7 pct in Q2 (3.0 pct in May poll); 2.9 pct in Q3 and 2.8 pct in Q4 (same as may)
Poll of over 110 economists taken June 19-25