Forward guidance on rates important when rates at zero- Bernanke

  • Date of first rate hike has been an enhancement to guidance but creates problems
  • Fed wants to be sure not to take away accommodation until economy has upward momentum
  • Looking at economic threshold before raising rates (unemployment rate, etc.) as advocated by Yellen, Evans, very promising
  • Housing a major player in this drama; market moving in right direction, prices rising, should loosen mortgage lending conditions (oh, goody! What could go wrong?)
  • Interest on excess reserves not a major monetary policy tool

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