Fed's Kaplan: Jury is out on Q4 because of virus

Comments in a Bloomberg interview

  • We need to get through the next couple of quarters
  • Businesses will be optimistic once the virus is behind us
  • Sees 3.5% GDP growth in 2021, mostly coming later one
  • Financial conditions are relatively loose
  • Failing to extend some fiscal aid would hit economy
  • inflation may be more muted than people expect
  • Fed used to try to preempt inflation by raising rates; now see benefits of running economy hotter
  • may have to take more aggressive action if inflation is rising rapidly than if just gradually

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