ECB's Praet: It's clear that downside risks have increased notably

Further comments by ECB chief economist Peter Praet

  • It would need big changes in scenarios not to abide by rate guidance
  • Says that rate guidance is a "very strong expectation"

The language on risks by the ECB will be a key thing to look out for next year. Currently, they view it as being "broadly balanced" but a shift towards something like "viewing increasing downside risks" will be a sign that rate hike expectations could be pushed back further towards 2020.

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