ECB presser part 3: Draghi says exchange rate affects inflation significantly

  • repeats again that exchange rate is not a policy target but has influence
  • the euro is an island of stability ( omits to mention it’s also got a great big coat of teflon!)

The Q&A continues

  • monetary policy stance should produce credit demand
  • uncertainty of forecasts rises with horizon
  • impact of the Ukraine crisis on Russian economy is severe

The continued upbeat but cautious Mr D once again has traders buying euros as if there’s not a care in the world. I can’t see the moves extending too far ahead of the NFPs tomorrow but definitely caught shorts on the back foot today and will create demand in the dips (again!)

  • ECB ready to activate OMT if needed
  • welcomes German top court decision on OMT

Presser finished for another month

Fingers now having a quick soak in the ice bucket

Best in 2026

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