Citi analyst says USD/JPY needs to go to 118 for the BOJ to change policy

Says the yen needs to weaken in nominal terms to allow the Bank of Japan to alter current policy settings

  • would make it easier for the BOJ to implement a change as it reduces the possibility of importing deflation
  • Says USD/JPY may need to fall at least halfway between the levels when Governor Kuroda warned of a currency slide in June 2015, and when the BOJ announced a negative rate policy in January 2016
  • i.e. to around 118
  • "Ironically, the latest yen appreciation on speculation for a BOJ policy adjustment is making such a move difficult" (referring to the recent gain for the yen , slide in USD/JPY)

Comments from Osamu Takashima, a Tokyo-based chief strategist at Citigroup. Via Bloomberg.

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