Carney: Rates might rise quicker or slower than the market expects

Talking rates

  • Different members would ascribe different probabilities to likelihood of cuts vs hikes

  • MPC did not come to a view in Feb on giving any explicit guidance on future rate moves
  • Effect of weaker pound is likely to be largely passed through to fresh fruit & veg
  • Some of the costs will be absorbed by manufacturers of processed foodstuffs
  • Retail market is very competitive
  • Rise in the FTSE since the vote is reflective on the currency effect, improvement in the global economy & resilience of the UK economy at the margin
  • 10yr yields have gone sideways since the vote despite the short-term economic momentum and reflation in other global bond markets
  • FTSE 250 of domestically focused companies has underperformed other share indices

Once he finishes at the BOE, Carney can get a fruit & veg stall down his local market.

I think (hope) that the hearing is wrapping up now.

What did we learn?

Not a lot really. I doubt your average Brit will sleep sounder at night now.

The four musketeers come through unscathed

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