BOJ's Amamiya expects Japanese economy to keep growing stably

Comments by BOJ deputy governor Amamiya

  • High possibility of strong global growth to continue
  • Sees improvement in household spending
  • Sees gradual growth in wages
  • Fiscal year 2020 growth may slow due to slowdown in capex
  • May also slow due to sales tax effect
  • Expects inflation to keep rising
  • BOJ is to continue easing monetary policy
  • Despite tight labour market, prices are lagging

Nothing new so far to come from Amamiya with regards to policy. The Japanese government is set to introduce a sales tax hike in fiscal year 2019 so that will cause a bit of a ruckus in the Japanese economy.

The last sales tax hike in 2014 prompted a technical recession in the quarters to come, so that will be something the BOJ and the government wants to avoid when the time comes again.

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